S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show Mainly Decreases in Default Rates

S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show Mainly Decreases in Default Rates
All indices show improvement in default rates over the past 12 months

New York, June 21, 2011 – Data through May 2011, released today by S&P Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed first and second mortgages default rates decreased in May to 2.09% and 1.42%,
respectively, from April values of 2.16% and 1.51%. Auto loans default rate went down from 1.45% in April to 1.34% in May while bank cards experienced a slight increase from 5.91% to 5.93%.

“While we might observe volatility from month-to-month, looking at default rates over the past few years it is easy to see that consumers have come a long way in fixing their balance sheets,” says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Indices. “All indices show default rates below where they were this time last year and more so if you look back to 2008/2009.”

“We do continue to see some differences among the cities. While Miami’s high unemployment rate contributes to its high default rate compared to some of the other cities, such as New York and Chicago, it is not the only variable. The latest MSA-level unemployment data show that at about 11%, Los Angeles and Miami have unemployment rates above the national average; however, the 2.39% default rate for Los Angeles is almost half that of Miami’s 5.31%. Among the other local factors affecting default rates is the aftermath of the housing bust. While both Los Angeles and Miami were among the cities with the largest home price increases, housing in southern California is doing better than housing in south Florida.”

Consumer credit defaults varied across major cities and regions of the U.S. Among the five major Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) reported in this release each month, Los Angeles and New York continue to lead the way with the largest decrease in defaults rates to 2.39% and 1.94%, from 2.57% and 2.11%, respectively. Chicago and Miami were not far behind with defaults decreasing to 2.37% and 5.31%. Dallas’s default rates increased modestly this month to 1.59% from 1.56%.

The table below summarizes the May 2011 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.

S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices National Indices

 Index

May 2011 Index Levels

April 2011 Index Levels

May 2010 Index Levels

Composite

2.23

2.30

3.61

First Mortgage

2.09

2.16

3.45

Second Mortgage

1.42

1.51

2.41

Bank Card

5.93

5.91

8.88

Auto Loans

1.34

1.45

1.76

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through May 2011

The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:

Metropolitan Statistical Area

May 2011 Index Levels

April 2011 Index Levels

May 2010 Index Levels

New York

1.94

2.11

3.94

Chicago

2.37

2.48

3.90

Dallas

1.59

1.56

2.55

Los Angeles

2.39

2.57

4.95

Miami

5.31

5.40

9.29

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through May 2011

Jointly developed by S&P Indices and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage
lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian's consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian's base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.

For more information, please visit: www.consumercreditindices.standardandpoors.com.

For more information:

David Guarino
Standard & Poor’s
Communications
212-438-1471
Dave_Guarino@standardandpoors.com

David Blitzer
Standard & Poor’s
Chairman of the Index Committee
212-438-3907
david_blitzer@standardandpoors.com

Susan Henson
Experian Public Relations
714-830-5129
Susan.henson@experian.com

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