S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show an Increase in National Index Led By First Mortgages

S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show an Increase in National Index Led By First Mortgages
Substantial Decrease in Default Rates for Miami in October
 
New York, November 15, 2011 – Data through October 2011, released today by S&P Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed that first mortgage default rates rose to 2.08% in October from September’s 1.99%.  Auto loans and second mortgage default rates decreased slightly; auto loans moved down from 1.29% in September to 1.22% in October, and second mortgages from 1.32% to 1.29%, respectively. Bank card default rates declined the most, from 5.36% in September to 4.85% in October.

“This month’s data show how much weight first mortgage default rates have in the national composite, about 84%,” says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Indices. “Auto loan, second mortgages and especially bank cards all saw pretty significant drops in their default rates. However, the national composite rose with first mortgages. Home purchases are obviously very large investments, so first mortgage loans are substantially larger than any other consumer loan type. Consequently, when such a loan goes into default it is more serious from the perspective of the consumer’s overall financial status than the others. This is the second time we have seen the rates go up for first mortgages since November 2010. Looking at the regions, Chicago saw the largest increase, moving from 2.47% to 2.64%. Miami fell the most, to 4.16%, well below the near 19% it had registered a little more than two years ago. While we continue to see some monthly volatility in these numbers, the broad trend seems to be that consumers are continuing to repair their balance sheets.”

Among the five major Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) reported in this release, Miami showed a substantial decrease in default rates from 4.59% in September to 4.16% in October. Chicago, Los Angeles and New York increased to 2.64%, 2.15% and 2.09% in October, from 2.47%, 2.12% and 2.01% in September, respectively. Dallas default rates moved down slightly from 1.33% in September to 1.30% in October.

The table below summarizes the October 2011 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through October 2011

The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Data through October 2011

Jointly developed by S&P Indices and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian's consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian's base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.

For more information, please visit: www.consumercreditindices.standardandpoors.com.

About S&P Indices
S&P Indices, a leading brand of the McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), maintains a wide variety of investable and benchmark indices to meet an array of investor needs. Over $1.25 trillion is directly indexed to Standard & Poor's family of indices, which includes the S&P 500, the world's most followed stock market index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, the S&P Global BMI, an index with approximately 11,000 constituents, the S&P GSCI, the industry's most closely watched commodities index, and the S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index, the premier investable index for U.S. municipal bonds. For more information, please visit: www.standardandpoors.com/indices.  
 
Standard & Poor’s does not sponsor, endorse, sell or promote any S&P index-based investment product. The S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are products of S&P Indices, which operates independently of Standard & Poor’s Ratings Group. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Group plays no role in the compilation, distribution or licensing of the Indices.

About Experian
Experian is the leading global information services company, providing data and analytical tools to clients in more than 90 countries. The company helps businesses to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision making. Experian also helps individuals to check their credit report and credit score and protect against identity theft.

Experian plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (EXPN) and is a constituent of the FTSE 100 index. Total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2010, was $3.9 billion. Experian employs approximately 15,000 people in 40 countries and has its corporate headquarters in Dublin, Ireland, with operational headquarters in Nottingham, UK; Costa Mesa, California; and São Paulo, Brazil.

For more information, visit http://www.experianplc.com.

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For more information:

Dave Guarino
S&P Indices
Communications
212-438-1471
Dave_Guarino@standardandpoors.com

David Blitzer
S&P Indices
Chairman of the Index Committee
212-438-3907
david_blitzer@standardandpoors.com

Susan Henson
Experian Public Relations
714-830-5129
Susan.henson@experian.com
 

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